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BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN 1 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a 13-fight PPV card in Phoenix, Arizona. This is the very first ever UFC on big ESPN card and DK has some decent competitions for us for this particular Sunday card. The main GPP is that a $10 buy-in and $20k belongs to 1st place, and there’ll be $100k in total prizes. They also have a new Qualifier for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that final competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first location cost and that $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 entries that match. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers so be careful chasing those overly hard. I’ll likely stick to the top GPP this week and then toss 50 or so entries at the $20k decoration. I’ll also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to receive a fantastic amount of play into money games. With that said, let us get into a few plays I enjoy too as my fade of this week: Money Game play of this week — Vicente Luque ($9,400) Vicente Luque is your safest play on the background, in my opinion. I believe he will be the fighter anywhere this battle goes, and he must predominate. I enjoy locking that triumph in my cash match and I think he has a fantastic shot at getting 10x his $9.4additional salary. I do expect him to become popular in tournaments so if you would like to fade the possession there and try to become contrarian, I would definitely want some Luque investment in cash games. Barberena is tough so he can last all 3 rounds and when he can then Luque might only score in the 80s and that will not win any GPPs. However, we can work with an ~80-point win in cash games since we only have to conquer half the field unlike the tournaments. GPP drama of the week — Cain Velasquez ($9,000) Cain Velasquez is my GPP drama of the week because of the chances. A little more than a week ago he was a -255 favored and that’s what resulted in his high $95 price tag. Now he’s only -155 and the value is currently on Ngannou at his 7.2k price label. I expect Ngannou are the greatest owned fighter on the card and when Cain wins then he’ll kill off near half the field. Also, if Cain wins he’s probably scoring over 100-points. I expect his possession to go down the longer his betting line reduces and that’s what makes him a great GPP play. He’s a 0-point floor, so I do not care for him as much in money game, but for GPPs we need boom or bust to try and get to that 1st place prize. Underdog play of this week — Andre Fili ($7,400) Andre Fili is my favorite dog of the week. He’s $1,400 cheaper than Myles Jury on DraftKings, but he is only a +125 underdog. I think he has a fantastic chance of winning this battle and I am picking him to receive his hand raised. I expect this to be a very close fight, but I believe Fili will probably be the fighter striking in the higher pace and that is what I believe gets it done for him on the judges’ scorecards. I really don’t see Fili having 100+ stage upside down but we do not really require that at his $7.4k price label. I believe he’s a good shot at getting at 10x, so he’s playable in most formats for me personally. Fade of this week — Andrea Lee ($8,900) Andrea Lee is my fade of this week. Not because I think she will lose, but I think have difficulty seeing her on the 20k lineup at her wages. I enjoy the 9k range much more than her and they all have higher ceilings using their grappling-based game programs. Andrea Lee scored well in her UFC debut, but that is because she did utilize grappling there. I really don’t see her doing this in this game because I presume Evans-Smith has the edge on the ground and she should be the one searching for takedowns. If Lee will win this battle, then she is going to have to do it on the feet and I really don’t see her having a high ceiling with no finish. The only reason to use her is because she will be super low owned, and it’ll create your lineup contrarian, but I wouldn’t advise it. Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below: (Premium bets are offered at that link as well. I am 57-34 to get +188.13u (+$18,813) since May 19th on Premium Plays) Read more: sportsnewsking.com